岛内舆论担忧“非核家园”冲击台湾

Core Viewpoint - Taiwan's third nuclear power plant has officially ceased operations, raising concerns about potential electricity shortages and rising electricity prices as the island transitions to a "nuclear-free homeland" [1][2]. Group 1: Energy Transition and Costs - The Taiwanese government plans to replace nuclear energy with renewable sources such as solar and wind power, as well as natural gas [1]. - The cost of renewable energy purchased by Taiwan Power Company (Taipower) in January and February was NT$5.81 per kilowatt-hour, while natural gas power cost NT$3 per kilowatt-hour, compared to nuclear energy at NT$1.87 per kilowatt-hour [1]. - The transition to higher-cost electricity sources is expected to increase Taipower's generation costs in the second half of the year, impacting electricity prices significantly [1]. Group 2: Reliability and Supply Concerns - The shutdown of the nuclear power plant has reduced the backup capacity rate by approximately 3%, raising fears of emergency power shortages during peak demand periods [2]. - Last year, there were 119 days when electricity reserves fell below 10%, indicating a precarious supply situation [2]. - The introduction of nearly 5 million kilowatts of large gas turbine units is planned, but their implementation timeline remains uncertain [2]. Group 3: Environmental and Health Implications - Post-nuclear phase-out, thermal power generation is expected to meet 84% of Taiwan's electricity demand, potentially leading to increased air pollution and health risks [3]. - The latest pollution source emissions report indicates that thermal power generation contributes significantly to PM2.5 and other harmful emissions, which can lead to respiratory issues [3]. Group 4: Public Sentiment and Criticism - Public sentiment on social media reflects dissatisfaction with the "nuclear-free homeland" policy, with some expressing concerns that it leads to higher carbon emissions and energy security issues [4]. - The prevailing view is that the transition has created a complex situation involving electricity pricing, carbon emissions, supply stability, and energy security challenges for Taiwan [4].