Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is prepared to continue raising interest rates if the Japanese economy accelerates and core inflation steadily approaches the 2% target [1] - BOJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida indicated that the central bank will not preset policy paths but will make decisions based on actual data performance, reflecting a "data-dependent" policy approach [1] - Recent GDP data for Q1 2025 showed a 1.8% annualized decline, indicating weak external demand affecting recovery, yet the BOJ maintains a view that rising wages and prices will support gradual policy normalization [1] Group 2 - The USD/JPY exchange rate has fallen below key technical levels, with the conversion line at 145.55 and the base line at 144.26, indicating bearish sentiment [2] - There are significant options expirations at various levels, including 144.35-50, 145.00, and 145.50-55, which may influence market movements [2] - The USD/JPY is forming a bullish hammer pattern above 145, but is facing resistance from the cloud chart above [3] Group 3 - Resistance levels for USD/JPY are identified at 146.45 (cloud bottom), 147.67 (high on May 15), and 148.17 (Bollinger Band upper limit) [4] - Support levels are noted at 144.17-144.26 (21-day moving average and base line) and 144.00 (high on May 7) [5]
日本央行年内可能再度加息
Jin Tou Wang·2025-05-19 04:24