台海观澜｜ 赖清德就职一年，大陆三次出重手惩戒“台独”

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the increasing tensions between Taiwan and mainland China under the leadership of Lai Ching-te, highlighting three significant military responses from China to Taiwan's pro-independence stance over the past year [1][6]. Group 1: Military Responses - The first military response occurred after Lai's inauguration speech on May 20, 2024, where he reiterated Taiwan's independence, prompting the Chinese military to conduct joint exercises named "Joint Sword-2024A" from May 23 to 24, involving multiple branches of the military [2][5]. - The second military response was triggered by Lai's speech on October 10, 2024, during Taiwan's National Day, where he again claimed that the People's Republic of China and the so-called Republic of China are not subordinate to each other. This led to the "Joint Sword-2024B" exercises on October 14, showcasing a range of military capabilities [3][5]. - The third response was initiated by Lai's "17 strategies" announced on March 13, 2025, which labeled mainland China as a "foreign hostile force." This resulted in another large-scale military exercise by the Chinese military shortly after [4][5]. Group 2: Implications of Military Exercises - The military exercises serve as a necessary measure by the mainland to ensure a decisive response if provoked, indicating a shift towards more realistic combat training [8]. - These exercises also act as a deterrent against Taiwan's pro-independence forces, preventing them from crossing critical red lines in cross-strait relations [9]. - Furthermore, the military activities influence the political balance within Taiwan, as the fear of military action can sway public opinion against pro-independence sentiments, maintaining a delicate political equilibrium [10][11].