2025年中国金属成形机床产业供给、经营、利润及进出口现状简析：存量阶段性放缓，出口贡献显著增量[图]

Industry Overview - The supply structure of metal forming machine tools in China is showing a trend of quantity reduction and quality improvement, with cumulative production decreasing from 259,000 units in 2010 to 160,000 units in 2024, while production value is expected to reach 83.2 billion yuan in 2024, driven by industrial structure optimization [1][11] - The production of low-end general-purpose models has gradually decreased, with output dropping from 230,000 units in 2018 to 183,000 units in 2022, yet the production value has increased [1][11] - The proportion of high-value-added CNC machine tools is rising, significantly increasing the value per unit of equipment, driven by the rigid demand for precision forming technology in downstream sectors such as new energy vehicles and aerospace [1][11] Policy Background - The policy layout for China's metal forming machine tool industry focuses on three strategic directions: high-end, intelligent, and green development, supported by fiscal incentives, technological breakthroughs, and industrial collaboration [4][5] - Key policy directions include strengthening fiscal support to guide enterprises towards high-end CNC machine tools and five-axis linkage processing centers, promoting technological integration and innovation, and deepening green transformation [5] Industry Chain - The upstream of the metal forming machine tool industry chain is supported by basic materials and core components, with large steel enterprises dominating the supply of metal raw materials [7] - Domestic enterprises are gradually breaking the international monopoly in key components such as hydraulic systems and CNC systems, forming a supply system with high-end imports and mid-to-low-end domestic products coexisting [7] Current Development Status - The supply structure of metal forming machine tools is characterized by a reduction in quantity and an increase in quality, with production value expected to grow by 3.2% year-on-year to 83.2 billion yuan in 2024, despite a 3% decline in consumption value [11][12] - The CNC rate is projected to exceed 51% in 2024, driven by the high-end demand from sectors like new energy vehicles and aerospace [11] Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape of the metal forming machine tool industry in China features a coexistence of domestic enterprises and foreign brands, with a moderate to low overall market concentration [15] - Domestic enterprises are narrowing the gap with foreign brands in the mid-to-high-end market through continuous technological breakthroughs and product upgrades [15] Development Trends - The industry is experiencing a shift towards intelligent operations, remote monitoring, and automated maintenance, significantly enhancing production efficiency and reducing labor costs [17] - There is a growing emphasis on green manufacturing and sustainable development, with the industry actively adopting environmentally friendly materials and optimizing production processes [17]