TYN(SZ:000591) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-05-20 02:37Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry chain prices have fully adjusted, and supply-side optimization is expected to stabilize prices [1] Investment Highlights - This week, photovoltaic industry chain prices continued to decline, with some products falling below cash costs. Some manufacturers are unable to deliver, and previously aggressive manufacturers are adjusting their strategies. Future prices are expected to stop falling, as the prices in the photovoltaic industry chain and the stock prices of the photovoltaic sector have fully adjusted. Demand in centralized and overseas markets is expected to marginally increase, and some positive external and internal factors are gradually accumulating, making the current position worth attention. The photovoltaic industry is rated as "overweight" [2] - Recommended stocks include: new technologies (LONGi Green Energy, Aiko Solar, Dier Laser, Laplace), auxiliary materials (CITIC Bo, Flat Glass, Foster), integrated (JinkoSolar, JA Solar, Trina Solar, Canadian Solar, Hengdian East Magnetic), specialized (Tongwei, GCL-Poly, Daqo New Energy, Junda, TCL Zhonghuan), and inverters (Sungrow, GoodWe, Deye) [2] Recent Performance - In the recent week (May 12-16, 2025), the photovoltaic sector's price change was 1.83%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.13 percentage points, ranking among the top in terms of price change compared to other sectors. The TTM overall valuation of the photovoltaic sector as of May 16, 2025, was 16.98 times, ranking in the middle to lower part compared to other sectors. The sector's price-to-earnings ratio has been declining since the end of 2021 and is currently at the valuation level of the end of 2018. The valuation premium of the photovoltaic sector relative to the CSI 300 is 1.43 times, which is also at a historically low level [3] Price Trends - The prices in the industry chain have partially decreased. The average price of dense materials is 37.0 yuan/kg, down 2 yuan/kg; the average price of N-type 182 silicon wafers is 0.95 yuan/piece, down 0.05 yuan/piece; the average price of N-type 182210 silicon wafers is 1.10 yuan/piece, down 0.05 yuan/piece; the average price of N-type 210 silicon wafers is 1.30 yuan/piece, down 0.08 yuan/piece; the average price of TOPCon (182) battery cells is 0.26 yuan/W, down 0.005 yuan/W; the average price of TOPCon (182210) battery cells is 0.265 yuan/W, unchanged; the average price of TOPCon (210) battery cells is 0.28 yuan/W, unchanged; the average price of double-glass 182 TOPCon modules is 0.68 yuan/W, down 0.01 yuan/W; the average prices for centralized and distributed systems in China are 0.67 and 0.68 yuan/W, respectively, both down 0.01 yuan/W; the average price of local TOPCon modules in India is 0.15 USD/W, unchanged; the average prices of local and TOPCon modules in the US are 0.30 and 0.27 USD/W, respectively, both unchanged; the average price of TOPCon modules in Europe is 0.088 USD/W, unchanged [4]