智通财经网·2025-05-20 08:00Core Viewpoint - The civil aviation industry is experiencing a recovery in passenger transport volume growth, with supply remaining low and price declines narrowing. The performance during the May Day holiday indicates positive trends in revenue management for airlines, suggesting an optimistic outlook for price improvements in the aviation sector [1]. Group 1: Operational Data - In April 2025, all airlines reported an increase in operational volume, with growth rates slightly higher than in March. Among major airlines, Eastern Airlines showed the highest growth rate, while Spring Airlines outperformed 吉祥航空 among private carriers. The passenger load factor for the three major airlines continued to rise, with Southern Airlines and Eastern Airlines exceeding 85%, while Spring Airlines experienced a slight decline and 吉祥航空 saw a slight increase [1]. - Domestic flight volumes in April 2025 showed a significant recovery compared to March, with a slight year-on-year increase compared to April 2024. Major airlines reported a slight increase in domestic capacity, with Spring Airlines increasing capacity and 吉祥航空 slightly decreasing it. The passenger load factor for the three major airlines and Spring Airlines improved, while 吉祥航空 saw a decline [2]. Group 2: International Market Performance - The international and regional flight markets are steadily expanding, with significant recovery in routes to Japan, South Korea, New Zealand, Malaysia, and Vietnam. Among major airlines, Air China and Eastern Airlines showed rapid growth in capacity, while 吉祥航空 shifted a significant portion of its capacity to international routes. The load factors for international flights varied, with Eastern Airlines, Southern Airlines, and 吉祥航空 showing improvements, while Air China and Spring Airlines experienced declines [2]. Group 3: Supply and Cost Factors - The introduction of new aircraft remains low, with the civil aviation fleet expected to grow by only 2.8% to 4,126 aircraft in 2024, including a reduction of 9 wide-body aircraft. In the first four months of 2025, only 64 new aircraft were introduced, indicating slow supply growth. Additionally, recent declines in oil prices and stable exchange rates are expected to positively impact the cost structure of the aviation industry, leading to potential improvements in second-quarter performance [3].