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贸易动荡中的AI数据中心投资是否降温?专家:投资方向未发生根本性逆转
Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-05-20 09:57

Group 1 - Despite a cautious approach to project selection and a slowdown in expansion speed, there has not been a dramatic shift or reversal in direction for companies [1][3] - Major tech companies are still committing investments to AI data centers, with Nvidia and partners announcing a €8.5 billion project in France, expected to be operational by 2028 [2] - The U.S. Department of Commerce announced a collaboration with the UAE to build a 5 GW data center in Abu Dhabi, which will be the largest AI data center outside the U.S. [2] Group 2 - Trade uncertainties and rising import costs due to tariffs are causing companies to pause or reassess their projects, leading to a reduction in the scale of new projects compared to two years ago [3][4] - Despite challenges, the construction of data centers continues to grow, although companies are more cautious in their project choices [3] - The cost of training AI models is decreasing, but this does not necessarily lead to a significant reduction in overall spending, as demand for these technologies may increase with lower costs [4] Group 3 - There is a significant gap between planning and reality in data center construction, with many proposals unlikely to materialize [6] - The demand for electricity from AI data centers is highly uncertain, with predictions varying widely; RAND Corporation estimates 347 GW by 2030, while Schneider Electric suggests a range of 16.5 GW to 65.3 GW [6] - Experienced data center clients like Microsoft and Amazon are proposing more projects than they actually need, leading to a phenomenon of "ghost data centers" [7]