How Will ADSK Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?

Core Insights - Autodesk is set to announce its earnings on May 22, 2025, with historical data indicating a balanced trend in stock performance post-earnings announcements, showing a 50% chance of positive returns and a 50% chance of negative returns [1][7] - Consensus forecasts predict Autodesk will report revenues of $1.61 billion and earnings per share of $2.15 for the upcoming quarter, reflecting an increase from the previous year's revenues of $1.42 billion and earnings per share of $1.87 [2] Financial Performance - Autodesk currently has a market capitalization of $64 billion, with $6.1 billion in revenue, an operating profit of $1.4 billion, and a net income of $1.1 billion over the past twelve months [3] Earnings Reaction History - Over the past five years, Autodesk has recorded 20 earnings data points, with 10 positive and 10 negative one-day returns, indicating a 50% occurrence of positive returns, which increases to 58% when considering the last three years [7] - The median of positive one-day returns is 1.7%, while the median of negative returns is -6.3% [7] Trading Strategies - Traders may consider pre-earnings positioning based on historical probabilities of positive and negative reactions, as well as post-earnings positioning to analyze immediate market responses and adjust trades accordingly [6] - A strategy involving correlation analysis between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can be employed to identify trading opportunities [5][6]