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SHOP Surges 34% in a Month: Should You Buy the Stock Now or Wait?
SHOPShopify(SHOP) ZACKS·2025-05-20 15:56

Core Viewpoint - Shopify has demonstrated significant growth in its merchant base and revenue, outperforming the broader technology sector and the internet services industry, driven by its merchant-friendly tools and expanding portfolio [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Shopify's Merchant Solutions generated revenues of 1.74billion,representing73.71.74 billion, representing 73.7% of total revenues, with a year-over-year increase of 29% [3]. - Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) reached 74.75 billion in Q1 2025, marking a 22.8% year-over-year growth, supported by same-store sales growth and an increase in the number of merchants [4]. Group 2: Product and Service Expansion - Shopify's Shop Pay processed 22billioninGMVinQ12025,reflectinga5722 billion in GMV in Q1 2025, reflecting a 57% year-over-year increase, with notable adoption by large brands [6]. - The B2B segment saw a remarkable 109% growth in GMV in Q1 2025, indicating strong performance in this expanding market [7]. - In April 2025, Shopify introduced new partner solutions for B2B businesses, aimed at enhancing digital commerce efficiency and reducing operational costs [8]. - Investment in AI-driven tools like Shopify Sidekick and Shop Inbox is enhancing customer engagement and operational efficiency for merchants [9]. Group 3: Strategic Partnerships - Shopify's extensive partner ecosystem, including collaborations with TikTok, PayPal, and Google Cloud, is a significant growth driver, expanding its merchant base [10]. - The partnership with Cognizant and Google Cloud aims to modernize retail commerce platforms, leveraging advanced technologies for improved shopping experiences [11]. - Collaboration with Roblox opens new opportunities for merchants to engage with a younger audience, strengthening Shopify's position in digital commerce [12]. Group 4: Earnings Estimates and Valuation - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Shopify's 2025 earnings is 1.40 per share, reflecting a 7.69% year-over-year growth, while revenues are estimated at $10.85 billion, indicating a 22.24% growth [13]. - Shopify's stock is currently considered overvalued, with a forward Price/Sales ratio of 12.14X compared to the industry average of 4.98X [14].