俄乌和平进程提速的动力来自矿产协议

Core Viewpoint - The peace process between Russia and Ukraine has accelerated significantly as of May 2025, with both parties showing a willingness to engage in negotiations, marking a shift from previous stances of hostility and isolation [1][3]. Group 1: Negotiation Dynamics - On May 11, President Putin proposed negotiations in Turkey, to which President Zelensky responded positively, even offering to meet face-to-face [1][2]. - Although Zelensky traveled to Turkey, Putin did not attend, leading to a meeting between the representatives of both countries on May 16, which was the first direct negotiation in three years [3]. - U.S. President Trump engaged in extensive diplomatic efforts, speaking with both leaders and European counterparts, indicating a complex interplay of interests among Russia, Ukraine, the U.S., and Europe [3]. Group 2: Motivations Behind the Peace Process - The acceleration of the peace process is attributed to the signing of the U.S.-Ukraine mineral agreement, which signifies a deepening of U.S.-Ukraine ties [4][5]. - Both leaders have different motivations: Putin views the agreement as a way to gauge U.S.-Ukraine relations and adjust his strategy, while Zelensky fears being sidelined and seeks recognition of his legitimacy from Russia [7]. Group 3: Future Prospects - The current momentum from the mineral agreement may initiate negotiations but is insufficient for a lasting ceasefire or peace agreement [8]. - A potential driving force for further progress could be a comprehensive assessment report on Ukraine's mineral resources, which remains uninitiated [10][11]. - The outcome of such a report could significantly influence the peace process, either positively or negatively, but there is currently a lack of action from both U.S. and Ukrainian sides regarding this investigation [12][13].