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还在学习新知识?你看不上的板块,已悄然新高——道达投资手记

Group 1 - The core driver for the formation of a bull market is the recovery of the fundamentals, with liquidity easing and industrial trends often creating a resonance effect [1] - When the fundamentals improve comprehensively, it typically leads to a full bull market; during a structural improvement phase, if it resonates with liquidity easing and industrial trends, it may also give rise to a bull market [2] - The distinction between a structural bull market and a full bull market depends on the main sources of incremental capital; individual investors tend to drive a broad market rally, while institutional investors are more likely to create structural opportunities [1][2] Group 2 - The current recovery process of the fundamentals is expected to be mild and gradual, with macro and micro liquidity resonance and industrial upgrades likely to drive market increases [2] - The easing of monetary policy in both China and the US is anticipated to provide liquidity support, as domestic residents accelerate their asset allocation towards equity markets in a declining interest rate environment [2] - Breakthroughs in artificial intelligence technology and the "AI+" initiative are expected to create an industrial revolution, leading to a comprehensive upgrade in the TMT sector, which may attract incremental capital inflows [2] Group 3 - The conclusion drawn is that the three-dimensional resonance of fundamentals, industry, and capital markets suggests that A-shares may enter a new cycle of structural bull market [3] - The market has experienced a significant rally since late September last year, followed by nearly eight months of wide fluctuations, leading to skepticism about the medium to long-term market outlook [3] - While quantitative funds have influenced profit expectations, there are methods to navigate or follow new profit models in the market [3][4] Group 4 - The market is currently characterized by a rotation trend, with sectors such as scarce resources, gold concepts, solid-state batteries, and innovative drugs showing significant gains [10] - Despite the focus on various sectors, some overlooked sectors like pharmaceuticals, food and beverage, and water utilities have recently reached new highs this year [10] - Blue-chip stocks such as Kelun Pharmaceutical, BYD, and several banks have also reached historical highs, indicating that institutional funds are actively participating in the market [11]