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国际金价延续强势
Jin Tou Wang·2025-05-21 09:39

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in gold prices is attributed to a significant drop in the US dollar index and rising market fears due to uncertainties in US fiscal policy [1][2] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Gold prices continued to rise, reaching $3310.61 per ounce with a 0.63% increase [1] - The US dollar index fell to a two-week low of 99.42, reducing the cost of holding gold priced in dollars, which has stimulated buying interest from European and Asian investors [2] - Concerns over the US economy, including a potential recession and the impact of trade tensions, have contributed to the dollar's decline [2] Group 2: Political Factors - The Trump administration is pushing for a comprehensive tax cut plan worth trillions, but there are significant divisions within the Republican Party, with at least five senior members opposing the current version due to fears of increasing the fiscal deficit [2] - The political struggle surrounding the tax cut plan raises concerns about a potential government shutdown if the legislation fails, prompting investors to seek refuge in gold [2] Group 3: Technical Analysis - Gold opened at around $3290 and has broken through previous resistance levels, indicating a bullish trend [3] - Key support levels for gold are noted at $3278-85, with short-term resistance at $3315-21 and significant resistance at $3340-45 [3] - The critical threshold for determining market strength is identified at $3253-60, with a bullish outlook maintained as long as prices stay above this level [3]