Will Ross Stores' Q1 Earnings Drive Stock Growth?

Group 1 - Ross Stores is expected to announce fiscal first-quarter earnings on May 22, 2025, with analysts predicting earnings of $1.43 per share and revenue of $4.96 billion, reflecting a 3% decrease in earnings and a 2% increase in sales year-over-year [1] - The company has a market capitalization of $51 billion and reported $21 billion in revenue over the last 12 months, resulting in an operating profit of $2.6 billion and net income of $2.1 billion [2] - Ross anticipates comparable store sales to be flat to a 3% decrease for the first quarter due to cautious macroeconomic conditions, with full-year EPS expected to be between $5.95 and $6.55, slightly down from $6.32 the previous year [2] Group 2 - Historical data shows that Ross Stores' stock has risen 50% of the time after earnings announcements, with a median one-day gain of 3.6% and a maximum increase of 10% [1][4] - Over the past five years, there have been 20 earnings data points, with positive one-day returns occurring approximately 50% of the time, increasing to 73% when considering the last three years [6] - The correlation between one-day and five-day post-earnings returns can provide a less risky trading strategy, particularly if a strong correlation is identified [4][5]