智通财经网·2025-05-21 11:59Market Overview - US stock index futures are all down, with Dow futures down 0.75%, S&P 500 futures down 0.50%, and Nasdaq futures down 0.51% [1] - European indices also show declines, with Germany's DAX down 0.10%, UK's FTSE 100 down 0.01%, France's CAC40 down 0.54%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 down 0.37% [2] - WTI crude oil is up 0.74% at $62.49 per barrel, while Brent crude is up 0.67% at $65.82 per barrel [2] Currency and Economic Sentiment - There is a rising expectation of US dollar depreciation, with the Bloomberg dollar index's one-year risk reversal indicator showing a negative 27 basis points, indicating the lowest level on record [3] - Morgan Stanley suggests buying US assets excluding the dollar, predicting a series of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve that could support the bond market and boost corporate earnings [3] Inflation and Tariff Impact - Federal Reserve officials warn that the impact of tariffs will soon be fully realized, potentially leading to a new wave of price increases in the US economy [4] - Atlanta Fed President Bostic indicates that many companies' buffer strategies against high tariffs are running out, which could weaken overall economic activity [4] Investor Sentiment and Market Dynamics - JPMorgan's CEO warns of "extreme complacency" among investors, suggesting that the market may soon face turbulence [5] - Goldman Sachs reports that clients are increasingly seeking to withdraw funds from the US market, questioning whether the US stock market's rally has reached its peak [6] Company Performance Highlights - Lowe's reported same-store sales down 1.7% but expects this key sales metric to remain flat or grow up to 1% for the year [7] - ZTO Express achieved a 19.1% year-on-year increase in package volume, with net profit up 40.9% [7] - Baidu's Q1 net profit increased by 41.65% year-on-year, reaching 77.17 billion yuan [8] - XPeng Motors reported a net loss of 660 million yuan, a 51.5% decrease year-on-year, with total revenue up 141.5% [8] - Weibo's Q1 net profit grew by 116.36% year-on-year, reaching $107 million [9] - Target's Q1 performance fell short of expectations, leading to a downward revision of sales forecasts [10] - Full Truck Alliance reported a 19% year-on-year increase in revenue, with significant growth in operational metrics [11] - iQIYI's Q1 revenue reached 71.9 billion yuan, with a 9% quarter-on-quarter increase [12] - Xinyi Technology reported a Q1 revenue of 34.81 billion yuan, with a net profit of 7.38 billion yuan [12] - Tuya Smart's Q1 revenue grew by approximately 21.1%, exceeding expectations [12]