8亿！荣昌生物高位折让配售，股价为何能不跌反升？

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market has seen a rise in discounted placements, with Rongchang Biopharmaceutical (09995.HK) announcing a placement of 19 million shares to raise approximately HKD 796 million, indicating strong market interest despite the company's ongoing losses [1][2][3]. Group 1: Placement Details - Rongchang Biopharmaceutical plans to place up to 19 million H-shares, representing about 10.02% of existing H-shares and 3.49% of total shares as of the announcement date [2]. - The placement price is set at HKD 42.44 per share, reflecting a discount of approximately 9.51% from the closing price on May 21 [2]. - The net proceeds from the placement are expected to be around HKD 796 million, aimed at enhancing research capabilities and business expansion [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Despite a revenue increase of 59% to RMB 1.71 billion in 2024, Rongchang Biopharmaceutical continues to operate at a loss, with a net loss of RMB 254 million in Q1 2025, which is a 27% increase in losses year-on-year [6][7]. - The company has only recorded a profit in 2021, primarily due to a licensing agreement with Seattle Genetics, which generated a net profit of RMB 276 million [6][5]. - As of Q1 2025, the company had cash and cash equivalents of RMB 719 million, indicating some liquidity but ongoing pressure on cash flow due to continuous losses [7]. Group 3: Product Pipeline and Market Potential - Rongchang Biopharmaceutical has developed over ten candidate drugs, with seven in clinical development targeting more than twenty indications [3]. - The company’s marketed products, including RC18 and RC48, are undergoing clinical trials for various indications, with RC48 being the first ADC drug in China to receive dual breakthrough therapy designation from both the FDA and the Chinese regulatory authority [4][3]. - The company is focusing on expanding the indications for its core product RC18, which has already received approvals for systemic lupus erythematosus and is expected to gain further approvals in the near future [4]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Stock Performance - Since the beginning of 2025, Rongchang Biopharmaceutical's stock has surged over 240%, reflecting strong market sentiment and positioning for the placement [8]. - The stock's performance on May 22, where both A and H shares opened low but closed higher, suggests a positive market reaction to the placement announcement [8].