Ulta Beauty (ULTA) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in Ulta Beauty's earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ending April 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Ulta Beauty is expected to report quarterly earnings of $5.75 per share, reflecting an 11.1% decrease year-over-year, while revenues are projected to reach $2.79 billion, a 2.2% increase from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.31% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive Earnings ESP reading, which is currently at +0.23% for Ulta, indicates a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [10][11]. Historical Performance - Ulta has exceeded consensus EPS estimates in three out of the last four quarters, with a notable surprise of +19.15% in the last reported quarter [12][13]. Additional Considerations - While an earnings beat can influence stock movement, other factors may also play a significant role in determining stock performance post-earnings release [14][16].