Burlington Stores (BURL) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?

Core Viewpoint - Burlington Stores (BURL) is anticipated to report flat earnings of $1.42 per share for the quarter ended April 2025, with revenues expected to reach $2.52 billion, reflecting a 6.9% increase year-over-year [3][12]. Earnings Expectations - The earnings report is scheduled for release on May 29, 2025, and could influence the stock price significantly depending on whether the actual results exceed or fall short of expectations [2][3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.17% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4][10]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP for Burlington Stores is +3.45%, suggesting a higher likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [11][10]. - The company has a Zacks Rank of 3, which indicates a hold position, but combined with a positive Earnings ESP, it suggests a favorable outlook for an earnings beat [11][8]. Historical Performance - Burlington Stores has a strong track record, having beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters, including a surprise of +8.24% in the most recent quarter [12][13]. Industry Context - In comparison, Costco (COST) is expected to report earnings of $4.25 per share for the same quarter, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +12.4%, with revenues projected at $63.14 billion, up 7.9% [17]. - Costco's Earnings ESP is -0.61%, indicating a more challenging outlook for beating consensus estimates, despite a history of surpassing expectations in three out of the last four quarters [18].