Workflow
Should You Buy, Hold or Sell OKTA Stock Before Q1 Earnings Release?
OktaOkta(US:OKTA) ZACKSยท2025-05-22 17:16

Core Viewpoint - Okta is expected to report strong fiscal first-quarter 2026 results, with anticipated non-GAAP earnings of 76-77 cents per share and revenues between $678-$680 million, reflecting a 10% year-over-year growth [1][2]. Group 1: Earnings and Revenue Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings has remained steady at 77 cents per share, indicating an 18.46% year-over-year growth [2]. - The consensus for revenues is pegged at $679.73 million, representing a 10.17% increase from the previous year [2]. Group 2: Customer Growth and Product Portfolio - Okta's expanding product portfolio, particularly in security and identity governance, is expected to drive client acquisition and top-line growth, with 19,650 customers and $4.215 billion in remaining performance obligations reported at the end of fiscal Q4 2025 [3]. - The number of customers with over $100 thousand in Annual Contract Value increased by 7% year-over-year to 4,800 [3]. Group 3: New Product Momentum - Continued momentum from new products such as Okta Identity Governance and Privileged Access is expected to contribute positively to the upcoming quarter, with over 20% of fiscal Q4 bookings coming from these offerings [4]. - Okta Identity Governance has rapidly gained traction, with over 1,300 customers contributing more than $100 million in annual contract value within two years of its launch [5]. Group 4: Partner Ecosystem - Okta benefits from a robust partner ecosystem, including major players like Amazon Web Services, Google, and Salesforce, which enhances its security capabilities [6][7]. - More than 70% of deals in fiscal Q4 2025 were influenced by partners, with Okta surpassing $1 billion in total contract value through its partnership with AWS [7]. Group 5: Stock Performance - Okta shares have outperformed the Zacks Computer & Technology sector, surging 54.9% year-to-date, while the sector has declined by 2% [8]. Group 6: Competitive Landscape - Despite strong product momentum, Okta faces stiff competition from CyberArk and Microsoft, both of which are expanding their presence in the identity and access management space [14]. - Microsoft's Entra identity offering serves over 900 million monthly active users, highlighting the competitive pressure in the market [15].