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Buy Barrick Stock At $19?
BBarnes (B) Forbes· Forbes·2025-05-23 08:30

Core Viewpoint - Barrick Mining stock is considered fairly valued at approximately 18.90,leadingtoaneutralinvestmentstancegivenitsmoderateassessment[1][10].FinancialPerformanceBarrickMiningsrevenueshavegrownatanaveragerateof2.918.90, leading to a neutral investment stance given its moderate assessment [1][10]. Financial Performance - Barrick Mining's revenues have grown at an average rate of 2.9% over the last three years, compared to 6.2% for the S&P 500 [4]. - Revenues increased by 13.4% from 11 billion to 13 billion in the past 12 months, outpacing the S&P 500's growth of 5.3% [4]. - Quarterly revenues rose 19.2% to 3.6 billion from 3.1billionyearoveryear,comparedtoa4.93.1 billion year-over-year, compared to a 4.9% improvement for the S&P 500 [4]. Profitability Metrics - Barrick Mining's operating income for the last four quarters was 4.2 billion, with an operating margin of 32.4%, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 13.1% [5]. - The operating cash flow (OCF) for the same period was 4.5billion,resultinginanOCFmarginof34.84.5 billion, resulting in an OCF margin of 34.8%, compared to 15.7% for the S&P 500 [5]. - Net income totaled 2.1 billion, yielding a net income margin of 16.6%, which is above the S&P 500's 11.3% [5]. Financial Stability - Barrick Mining's debt was 5.3billion,withamarketcapitalizationof5.3 billion, with a market capitalization of 33 billion, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 16.0%, lower than the S&P 500's 21.5% [6]. - Cash and cash equivalents amount to 4.1billionoutoftotalassetsof4.1 billion out of total assets of 48 billion, resulting in a cash-to-assets ratio of 8.6%, compared to 15.0% for the S&P 500 [6]. Valuation Comparisons - Barrick Mining has a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 2.5, lower than the S&P 500's 2.8 [7]. - The price-to-free cash flow (P/FCF) ratio stands at 7.3, compared to 17.6 for the S&P 500 [7]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 15.3, significantly lower than the benchmark's 24.5 [7]. Resilience During Downturns - Barrick stock has underperformed against the S&P 500 during recent downturns, including a 48.8% decline during the inflation shock of 2022, compared to a 25.4% drop for the S&P 500 [9]. - The stock fell 42.3% during the COVID pandemic, while the S&P 500 experienced a 33.9% decline [9]. - During the global financial crisis of 2008, Barrick stock dropped 66.1%, compared to a 56.8% decline for the S&P 500 [10]. Overall Assessment - Barrick Mining's performance across various metrics indicates a moderate valuation, leading to a neutral investment recommendation [10][12].