GM-Dollar General Set For Q1: Analyst Sees Trade-In Momentum, Margin Recovery, Strong Price Gaps Over Rivals

Core Viewpoint - BofA Securities analyst Robert F. Ohmes maintains a Buy rating on Dollar General Corp, increasing the price target from $100 to$ 115, anticipating positive financial results for the fiscal 2025 first quarter [1]. Financial Performance - Dollar General is expected to report an adjusted EPS of $1.40 for Q1, with comparable sales projected to rise by 1% [1]. - Real-time sales data indicates an acceleration in sales for the quarter, suggesting potential upside compared to current estimates [2]. Operational Insights - Profit gains from reduced shrink are expected to be offset by pressures from store remodel activities and labor costs, with approximately$ 20 million in expenses related to store closures [3]. - Margin performance is anticipated to improve progressively throughout the year [3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is expected to benefit from trade-in programs that will support comparable sales and mitigate spending fluctuations among core customers, with adoption gaining traction [4]. - Despite concerns over Walmart's stronger comp performance, Dollar General's significant price gaps, digital expansion momentum, and ongoing store closures at competitors are seen as supportive factors [5]. Market Activity - Dollar General shares are currently trading higher by 1.25% at $101.90 [6].