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Should You Buy Intuitive Machines While It's Below $12?
LUNRIntuitive Machines(LUNR) The Motley Fool·2025-05-24 12:08

Core Viewpoint - Intuitive Machines' stock has seen a significant increase despite missing earnings, and it is now considered cheap enough to buy, with a 20% rise since the Q1 earnings report [1]. Financial Performance - In Q1, Intuitive Machines reported a loss of 0.11pershare,animprovementfromalossof0.11 per share, an improvement from a loss of 2.68 per share in the same quarter last year [3]. - Sales for Q1 were 62.5million,down1562.5 million, down 15% year-over-year, but are projected to rebound by 10% in Q2 [3]. - The company generated positive free cash flow of 13.3 million in Q1, the first occurrence in over two years, although analysts expect cash burn in the next three quarters totaling 15million[4][5].LongtermProspectsIntuitiveMachinesisbecomingakeycontractorforNASA,havingsecuredfour"IM"missionstothemoon,withtwocompletedandtwoscheduledfor2026and2027[7].Thecompanyhasfacedchallengeswithitslanders,butmanagementisaddressingtheseissuesforfuturemissions,andNASAissatisfiedenoughtoprovidesuccesspaymentsfortheIM2mission[8].IntuitiveMachinesisalsoworkingona15 million [4][5]. Long-term Prospects - Intuitive Machines is becoming a key contractor for NASA, having secured four "IM" missions to the moon, with two completed and two scheduled for 2026 and 2027 [7]. - The company has faced challenges with its landers, but management is addressing these issues for future missions, and NASA is satisfied enough to provide success payments for the IM-2 mission [8]. - Intuitive Machines is also working on a 4.8 billion Near Space Network contract, which is expected to generate approximately 480millioninannualrevenueoverthenextdecade[9].StockValuationThestockpricehasincreasedsignificantlypostearnings,currentlyaround480 million in annual revenue over the next decade [9]. Stock Valuation - The stock price has increased significantly post-earnings, currently around 11, which is nearly double the price paid previously [10]. - Despite being down about 50% from its all-time high in January, the stock is still considered to be at the high end of fair value for an unprofitable space stock, priced at 4.1 times trailing sales [11][12].