美国关税大棒下 欧洲多行业恐陷生存危机

Group 1: Automotive Industry - The automotive sector in Germany is significantly impacted by the US tariff policy, with major companies like Porsche, BMW, Volkswagen, and Mercedes-Benz experiencing stock price declines of over 3% [2] - In 2024, 13.1% of new cars exported from Germany are destined for the US, making the industry vulnerable to tariff increases [2] - Porsche, lacking a production base in the US, faces potential losses as 30% to 40% of its vehicles are exported from Germany, leading to increased prices to offset tariffs [2][5] Group 2: Spirits Industry - The French Cognac industry could face severe challenges if the US imposes a 50% tariff, as the US is the largest export market, accounting for over 50% of global sales [7] - The potential tariff could result in annual losses exceeding 2 billion euros for the French Cognac sector, with some producers possibly exiting the US market permanently [7] Group 3: Cosmetics Industry - The French cosmetics industry relies heavily on the US market, which is its largest export destination outside the EU, with annual exports valued at approximately 2.5 billion euros [10] - The imposition of tariffs could exacerbate competition from other global cosmetics exporters, putting the competitiveness of European, particularly French, cosmetics at risk [10] Group 4: Chemical Industry - The German chemical and pharmaceutical sectors are facing declining business expectations due to the uncertainty surrounding US tariff policies, which may reduce export opportunities [11][13] - The German Chemical Association is focusing on developing internal EU markets and other markets to mitigate the impact of US tariffs [11][13]