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Here's Why Walmart Continues to Crush the S&P 500 (and if the Dividend Stock Is a Buy Now)
WMTWalmart(WMT) The Motley Fool·2025-05-24 15:27

Core Viewpoint - Walmart has demonstrated strong performance in the retail sector, with significant growth in e-commerce and a focus on value, making it an attractive option for investors despite a slowdown in overall growth [1][10][15]. Group 1: Performance Metrics - Walmart's stock increased by 71.9% last year, outperforming the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average [1]. - Year-to-date, Walmart has achieved a 6.7% gain, contrasting with a 2.1% decline in the S&P 500 [1]. - In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Walmart's global e-commerce sales grew by 22%, while total constant currency revenue grew by 4% [4]. Group 2: E-commerce and Business Strategy - Walmart's comparable sales in the U.S. grew by 4.5%, with 350 basis points attributed to e-commerce [5]. - The company has successfully improved e-commerce profitability for the first time in Q1, indicating a positive shift in its business model [9]. - Walmart's delivery options have expanded significantly, with U.S. deliveries in less than three hours growing by 91% year-over-year [9]. Group 3: Competitive Positioning - Walmart's value-focused strategy allows it to leverage its extensive store network and supply chain to compete effectively with Amazon on pricing [8]. - The company is positioned well to attract cost-conscious consumers amid inflation and economic uncertainty [4][6]. - Walmart's emphasis on efficiency and cost management is crucial for maintaining competitiveness against digitally native retailers like Amazon [7]. Group 4: Growth Outlook and Valuation - Walmart's forecast for fiscal 2026 indicates a 4% increase in net sales and a less than 2% increase in adjusted earnings per share, reflecting a slowdown in growth [12]. - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 41.2, suggesting that the stock is priced for high growth despite slower overall business growth [13][16]. - The low dividend yield of 1% may deter new investors, as the stock price has risen faster than the dividend [15].