Gorilla Pops 14.6% on Buyback Completion: Should You Buy GRRR Now?

Core Insights - Gorilla Technology Group Inc. (GRRR) shares increased by 14.6% following announcements of share repurchases and insider ownership updates, indicating renewed investor confidence driven by strategic corporate actions and improving fundamentals [1][2] - The company has executed over $1.8 million in share repurchases in April and May, contributing to a total buyback of $5.4 million [1][2] - Insider ownership has risen to nearly 20% due to additional purchases by directors and officers, reflecting confidence from corporate leadership [2] Financial Performance - Gorilla reported a 15.4% year-over-year revenue growth to $74.67 million in 2024, attributed to strong sales growth and effective execution [3] - The company is undergoing a business transformation plan focusing on high-margin segments such as AI-based video analytics and cybersecurity solutions, with significant reductions in selling and marketing costs, R&D costs, and G&A expenses [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Gorilla's EPS in 2025 and 2026 suggests improvements of 112.4% and 32.9% year-over-year, respectively, with revenue estimates indicating increases of 54.6% and 26% for the same periods [4] Future Outlook - Gorilla plans to report its first-quarter 2025 results in June, with EPS estimated at $0.01 and revenues at $20 million [5] - The company expects gross margins for 2025 to be at the top end of the 40-50% range and anticipates EBITDA margins of 20-25% for the full year [5] - Gorilla has a backlog of $93 million for 2025 and $67 million for 2026, with over $2 billion in signed contracts and an additional $4.6 billion in late-stage contracts [13] Market Position - Over the past year, Gorilla's shares have surged by 225.9%, outperforming the industry average of 37.2% [6] - The company trades at a forward P/S of 2.97X, which is in line with the industry average, while competitors like Allot and AppLovin trade at higher multiples [9] - Gorilla operates in high-growth segments such as AI, IoT, and cybersecurity, which are expected to expand rapidly, supported by increasing global investments in digital security and automation [11][12] Financial Health - As of the end of 2024, Gorilla's total cash position was $37.5 million, with outstanding debt at $21.4 million, and plans to reduce debt by selling property in Taipei [14]