Core Viewpoint - Credit Lyonnais has lowered the target price for Meituan to HKD 185 due to profit margin pressures from competition in the food delivery sector and global expansion efforts [1] Financial Performance - Meituan's Q1 2025 performance exceeded expectations, with total revenue and adjusted EBITDA increasing by 18% and 62% year-on-year, reaching RMB 86.6 billion and RMB 11.2 billion, respectively, surpassing Credit Lyonnais's estimates by 1% and 12% [1] - The company anticipates a slowdown in core local commerce revenue growth and a year-on-year decline in profits for Q2 2025, as it prioritizes competitive responses and faces increased losses from new business ventures due to global expansion [1] Revenue and Profit Forecasts - Credit Lyonnais projects a 13% year-on-year increase in total revenue for Q2 2025, while adjusted EBITDA is expected to decline by 21% [1] - Core local commerce revenue is forecasted to grow by 10% year-on-year, with adjusted EBITDA anticipated to decrease by 12% [1] Adjustments to Profit Predictions - The firm has revised its adjusted net profit forecasts for Meituan downwards by 7% and 6% for the next two years, leading to a reduction in the target price from HKD 195 to HKD 185 [1]
里昂降美团目标价至185港元 外卖竞争与全球扩张令利润率承压