报告：武汉楼市需求回暖，供需矛盾持续缓解

Core Viewpoint - The new housing policy "Han Jiu Tiao" in Wuhan focuses on "expanding demand" and "stabilizing supply" through adjustments in housing finance, tax incentives, and market supply, forming a comprehensive policy approach [1][4]. Group 1: Market Trends - In the first four months of this year, the transaction area of commercial residential properties in Wuhan (excluding affordable housing) reached 1.841 million square meters, a slight year-on-year increase of 0.8%, while the supply area was 1.749 million square meters, showing a year-on-year decrease of 12.2% [1]. - A report from DTZ indicates a recovery trend in overall demand in Wuhan's commercial residential market, with a significant slowdown in market supply, suggesting that the supply-demand imbalance will continue to ease [2]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - With the continuous decline in new housing starts and completion areas, the supply side is slowing down, while demand is improving. The supply-demand ratio in developed second-tier cities, including Wuhan, has decreased from 0.81 in 2024 to 0.71 in the first quarter of this year [4]. - Over 80% of the 24 major cities have seen a reduction in inventory clearance cycles, indicating a gradual alleviation of supply-demand conflicts [4]. Group 3: Policy Measures - To solidify the recovery of the housing market, real estate policies are expected to maintain a loose orientation through 2025, with various government departments launching a series of policy measures aimed at stabilizing the market [4]. - Wuhan's response to the policy loosening includes the issuance of the "Notice on Continuously Consolidating the Stability of the Real Estate Market" by multiple departments, which emphasizes the dual focus on expanding demand and stabilizing supply [4]. Group 4: Housing Supply and Urbanization - As urbanization slows and the growth rate of new populations declines, the real estate market is returning to its residential attributes, emphasizing a "dual-track" approach of renting and purchasing to meet diverse needs [5]. - Increasing the supply of affordable rental housing is a key measure to alleviate housing pressure for new citizens and young people, facilitating their integration into urban areas [5]. - The inclusion of affordable rental housing in public REITs has effectively supplemented project funding, providing strong momentum for the affordable rental housing market and creating a complete investment loop [5].