Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates that Meituan's revenue and adjusted net profit for Q1 exceeded expectations, but short-term performance is expected to decline due to competitive pressures in the food delivery sector, while long-term confidence remains strong [1] Financial Performance - Meituan's Q1 revenue grew by 18% year-on-year to 86.6 billion RMB, surpassing CICC's expectations by 1.4% [1] - Adjusted net profit for the same period was 10.95 billion RMB, exceeding expectations by 21%, driven by better-than-expected core local business operating profits and lower-than-expected losses from undistributed projects [1] - The adjusted net profit margin stood at 12.6% [1] Business Outlook - CICC anticipates steady growth in Meituan's food delivery order volume and in-store hotel and travel GTV for Q2 [1] - The firm has revised down its adjusted net profit forecasts for Meituan for 2025 and 2026 by 13% and 5% to 40.9 billion RMB and 54.1 billion RMB, respectively, due to increased food delivery subsidies and greater overseas investments [1] Investment Rating - Despite the short-term performance adjustments, CICC maintains a positive outlook on Meituan, rating it as outperforming the industry with a target price of 177 HKD, corresponding to adjusted P/E ratios of 25x and 18x for 2025 and 2026, respectively [1]
中金：美团外卖坚决应战 料短期业绩下调 但对长期有信心