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中金:4月国内外逆变器出口金额同环比均升 预期二季度景气度有望延续
智通财经网·2025-05-27 07:25

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates that inverter exports have shown a month-on-month increase in April, with significant growth in exports to Europe, particularly Germany and the Netherlands, while also highlighting the recovery in demand from Eastern Europe [1][2]. Export Data Summary - In April, inverter exports to Europe increased, with Germany's exports at $0.94 billion, up 167% year-on-year and 48% month-on-month, and the Netherlands at $1.62 billion, flat year-on-year but up 63% month-on-month [2]. - Exports to Eastern Europe showed rapid growth, with Czech Republic exports at $0.17 billion, up 96% year-on-year and 200% month-on-month [2]. - In the Americas, exports to the U.S. were $0.2 billion, down 11% year-on-year and 18% month-on-month, primarily due to tariff policy fluctuations, while exports to Brazil were $0.4 billion, down 42% year-on-year and 13% month-on-month [2]. - Emerging markets showed mixed results, with India at $0.4 billion, down 2% year-on-year and 16% month-on-month, while Pakistan's exports were $0.5 billion, up 2% year-on-year and 25% month-on-month, and Vietnam at $0.1 billion, up 58% year-on-year and 2% month-on-month [2]. Regional Export Performance - All provinces in China reported month-on-month increases in export amounts in April, indicating a positive demand outlook [3]. - Jiangsu's exports were $1.02 billion, up 12% year-on-year and 24% month-on-month; Zhejiang's exports were $1.95 billion, up 22% year-on-month and 23% month-on-month; Guangdong's exports were $2.87 billion, up 3% year-on-year and 25% month-on-month [3]. - Jiangsu and Zhejiang, focusing on household inverters, showed larger month-on-month increases compared to provinces exporting larger inverters, with expectations for continued growth in May and June [3]. Price Trends - The average export price per unit of inverters increased in April, driven by a higher proportion of commercial storage products, which typically have larger power ratings [4]. - Domestic prices for grid-connected inverters remained stable from March to April, with prices for 20KW, 50KW, and 110KW inverters at 0.14, 0.13, and 0.12 yuan/W respectively [4]. Investment Recommendations - The expectation is for inverter companies to achieve month-on-month growth in shipments in Q2, with a focus on companies with lower exposure to the U.S. market and higher shares in Europe and emerging markets [5]. - Recommended companies include YN Technology (688348.SH) and Jinlang Technology (300763.SZ), with related stocks including Deye Co., Ltd. (605117.SH) and GoodWe (683901.SH) [5].