BILL Holdings Plunges 47% Year to Date: Should You Buy the Stock on Dip?

Core Viewpoint - BILL Holdings (BILL) has experienced a significant decline in stock value, dropping 46.8% year-to-date, underperforming compared to the broader tech sector and peers like SAP and Intuit, which have seen gains of 19.7% and 14.5% respectively [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - The underperformance of BILL can be linked to broader market weaknesses in the tech sector, ongoing fears regarding U.S. tariffs, and a challenging macroeconomic environment characterized by persistent inflation and high interest rates [2] - In contrast, competitors SAP and Intuit have successfully enhanced their offerings, particularly in the SMB sector, contributing to their stock gains [1][2] Group 2: Company Developments - BILL is enhancing its platform with increased adoption, AI-driven automation, and expanded payment solutions, which are expected to help the company compete effectively in the SMB sector [3] - In fiscal Q3 2025, BILL processed nearly $79 billion in payment volume across 30 million transactions, aiding over 488,600 businesses in automating financial operations [4] - The company introduced new procurement and financial automation innovations in April 2025, unifying various financial workflows to help businesses manage cash flow [5] Group 3: Customer Growth and Partnerships - BILL added 4,200 net new customers in fiscal Q3 2025, bringing the total to 164,800 customers using its AP and AR solutions [6] - Key partnerships, such as with Xero and Regions Bank, have been instrumental in expanding BILL's SMB clientele and enhancing its digital payment solutions [7][8] Group 4: Financial Guidance - For Q4 fiscal 2025, BILL anticipates revenues between $370.5 million and $380.5 million, indicating year-over-year growth of 8-11% [9] - The company expects fiscal 2025 revenues to be between $1.45 billion and $1.46 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 12-13% [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q4 fiscal 2025 revenues is $375.13 million, with a consensus earnings estimate of 39 cents per share [10] Group 5: Profitability and Cash Flow - BILL's focus on automation and an expanding customer base is driving strong growth and profitability, with a free cash flow margin of 25% in fiscal Q3 2025 [12] - The company is positioned for sustained success, supported by its robust product portfolio and market demand [12]