低利率牵引长线资金，红利低波资产稳驭震荡周期

Group 1 - The current market environment is characterized by increased volatility and a downward trend in interest rates, making the dividend low-volatility strategy attractive due to its dual advantages of high dividends and low volatility [1][2] - The recent adjustments in deposit rates by major banks, with the one-year fixed deposit rate dropping below 1%, have diminished the appeal of traditional deposit products, leading to a growing interest in dividend low-volatility indices [1][2] - The introduction of policies aimed at enhancing shareholder returns and improving the dividend system has led to a shift in long-term capital towards dividend low-volatility assets, positioning them as a core strategic allocation [1][3] Group 2 - The A-share market is currently in a state of fluctuation, supported by policies but lacking strong catalysts for upward movement, with dividend low-volatility assets serving as a defensive anchor [2][3] - The "dividend season" from May to July is expected to further boost the attractiveness of dividend indices as bond market yields decline and dividend yields rise [2][3] - The average dividend payout ratio for A-share companies has improved to 37.7% in 2024, the highest level since 2010, indicating a positive trend in dividend willingness and capability among listed companies [3] Group 3 - The new policies linking corporate dividends to financing qualifications and imposing risk warnings on low-dividend companies are expected to enhance the awareness of shareholder returns among listed companies [3][4] - Long-term funds, including insurance and social security funds, are increasingly favoring high-dividend assets, with an estimated 570 billion yuan in incremental funds expected from insurance capital in 2025 [3][4] - The dividend low-volatility index combines high dividend and low volatility factors, creating a stable investment portfolio that captures high-dividend companies while filtering out high-volatility stocks [4][5] Group 4 - The low-volatility dividend index shows significant sector weightings, with nearly 50% in the banking sector, which aligns well with the characteristics of high dividend and low volatility [5][7] - The new public fund regulations are reshaping asset allocation logic, with a notable underweight in the banking, transportation, and construction sectors compared to the index benchmarks, creating a structural mismatch [7][9] - If public funds increase their allocation to the three major sectors to historical median levels, it could lead to an estimated 300 billion yuan in additional liquidity for the low-volatility dividend index [9]