战略锁定宁德时代百万吨级订单 万润新能有望在竞争中占得先机

Core Viewpoint - Wanrun New Energy (688275.SH) has signed a five-year business cooperation agreement with CATL (300750) to supply approximately 1.32 million tons of lithium iron phosphate products from May 2025 to 2030, indicating a significant shift in the lithium iron phosphate market and competitive landscape among leading companies [1] Group 1: Company Overview - The agreement with CATL is expected to generate total revenue of approximately 42.3 billion to 44.2 billion yuan, with an average annual revenue contribution of 8.46 billion to 8.84 billion yuan, significantly exceeding Wanrun's projected revenue of 7.523 billion yuan for 2024 [1] - Wanrun New Energy reported a total revenue of 2.278 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 97.3%, with lithium iron phosphate shipment volume increasing by 138% [2] - The company has sufficient production capacity for lithium iron phosphate, with existing capacities of 311,000 tons/year in Hubei, 37,000 tons/year in Anhui, and 120,000 tons/year in Shandong, along with a planned 50,000 tons capacity in the U.S. [2] Group 2: Industry Insights - The demand for lithium iron phosphate is rising due to the recovery in the electric vehicle and energy storage markets, with China's lithium iron phosphate battery shipments expected to exceed 900 GWh in 2024, a year-on-year increase of over 35% [2] - The collaboration with CATL aims to develop high-density lithium iron phosphate products, which could enhance profit margins and provide a competitive edge in the market [3] - The market is witnessing a concentration of orders among leading battery manufacturers, with Wanrun's average annual revenue from the agreement surpassing that of other suppliers to CATL, indicating a trend towards increased market share for leading companies [3][4]