汇丰研究降联想集团目标价至12.1港元 维持买入评级

Group 1 - HSBC Global Research has lowered Lenovo Group's target price from HKD 14.8 to HKD 12.1 while maintaining a buy rating [1] - The reduction in earnings per share estimates for the fiscal years 2026 and 2027 is by 12% and 18% respectively, due to slowing PC shipment growth and the nominal interest on USD 2 billion convertible bonds [1] - Despite the weak shipment outlook, Lenovo's PC product mix is improving, with a projected quarter-on-quarter sales growth of approximately 5% for the IDG business (personal computers and mobile devices) by the end of June [1] Group 2 - Lenovo's management anticipates that the penetration rates of commercial and AI computers will drive growth momentum, despite uncertainties in shipment volumes [1] - The company is expected to see an acceleration in the personal computer upgrade cycle, leading to a recovery in IDG business gross margins in fiscal year 2026 [1] - Lenovo's ISG business is projected to remain profitable, with an expected operating profit of USD 43 million in fiscal year 2026, a significant turnaround from an operating loss of USD 69 million in fiscal year 2025 [1]