报告展望：我国港口货物吞吐量将呈现稳定增长趋势

Core Insights - The report indicates a stable growth trend in China's port cargo throughput, with coastal port cargo throughput and foreign trade cargo throughput expected to grow by approximately 3% and 4% respectively in 2025 [1][2] Group 1: Global Shipping Trends - The global shipping volume is projected to reach 12.63 billion tons in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.2%, which is a slight slowdown compared to 2023 [1] - China's foreign trade shipping volume is expected to account for 31.3% of the global shipping volume in 2024, an increase of 1.0 percentage points from 2023 [1] - The proportions of iron ore, coal, crude oil, and containers in China's shipping volume have increased, with respective shares of 76.2%, 30.8%, 25.6%, and 24.5% in 2024, showing increases of 1.1, 3.4, 0.02, and 0.5 percentage points compared to 2023 [1] Group 2: Domestic Port Performance - China's coastal ports are expected to handle a cargo throughput of 1.36 billion tons in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 3.3%, which translates to a net increase of 44 million tons [2] - Ningbo-Zhoushan Port is projected to achieve a cargo throughput of 1.38 billion tons in 2024, a 4% increase, making it the only port in the country to surpass 1 billion tons and maintaining its position as the world's busiest port for 16 consecutive years [2] - Domestic river ports are also experiencing significant growth, with a projected cargo throughput of 399 million tons in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.9% [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the growth of domestic river ports will continue to improve, with an expected growth rate of around 5% in 2025, driven by the full activation of economic internal dynamics [2] - The 2025 Maritime Silk Road Port Cooperation Forum, held from May 26 to 29 in Ningbo, attracted over 900 representatives from more than 40 countries and regions, focusing on international port and shipping industry discussions [2]