智通财经网·2025-05-29 02:53Core Viewpoint - Shenwan Hongyuan has initiated coverage on Lenovo Group (00992) with a "Buy" rating, indicating significant upside potential due to its undervalued position as an ICT full-stack supplier and the presence of untapped stock price catalysts [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The report highlights a positive outlook for the PC market, driven by a peak in online office PC purchases from 2020 to 2022, the end of Windows 10 support prompting replacement demand, and the innovative AIPC product stimulating new demand [1][4] - Lenovo has established a stable business model that has allowed it to grow from a local player to a global leader in the PC market, with a strong correlation between its revenue and the global PC market's performance [1][2] Group 2: Revenue Composition - Historically, PCs accounted for about 70% of Lenovo's revenue, but the rise of AI has shifted growth drivers towards mobile devices, servers, and industry-specific intelligent solutions [2] - The ISG segment, primarily focused on servers, is seeing an increasing revenue share due to the global AI capital expenditure, while the SSG segment is expected to grow rapidly as enterprises undergo digital transformation [2][5] Group 3: AI Strategy - Lenovo is transitioning from a hardware supplier to a software service provider, leveraging AI as a key focus area, with the establishment of two major AI ecosystems: Qingtian 3.0 and Tianxi [2][3] - The company aims to create an "AI ecosystem" that integrates various AI applications, positioning itself as a critical player in the hybrid AI landscape [3] Group 4: Business Segments - In the IDG segment, Lenovo is experiencing a recovery in PC sales and rapid growth in mobile devices, with a projected revenue share of 73% for FY24/25 [4] - The SSG segment is expected to contribute around 6% of revenue for FY24/25, driven by the Qingtian 3.0 platform and a strong software ecosystem [4] - The ISG segment, which includes servers and storage, is projected to account for 21% of revenue for FY24/25, benefiting from partnerships with large CSPs and the growing demand for AI applications [5] Group 5: Valuation - Lenovo's projected PE ratio for FY25/26 is 9x, significantly lower than the average PE of 16x for comparable global ICT suppliers, indicating substantial room for price appreciation [6]