新能源电量全面入市迎重要节点 运营、交易环节加快转型

Core Viewpoint - The recent notification from the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration emphasizes the market-oriented reform of renewable energy pricing, leading to a significant increase in consultation for electricity trading services among renewable energy companies [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - As of March 2023, China's total installed power generation capacity reached 3.43 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 14.6%, with renewable energy sources (wind and solar) surpassing thermal power capacity for the first time [1]. - The shift towards market-based pricing for renewable energy is seen as inevitable due to the rapid growth and cost competitiveness of these energy sources [1][2]. - The notification categorizes existing and new projects, with new projects expected to fully enter the market by June 1, 2023, allowing market competition to determine pricing [2]. Group 2: Investment and Operational Strategies - Companies are expected to enhance their operational capabilities to mitigate risks associated with yield fluctuations, with a focus on strategic site selection for new projects [2][6]. - The notification has prompted a surge in demand for electricity trading services, with some companies reporting a 400% increase in inquiries and a 200% rise in order volume since the announcement [3][4]. Group 3: Future Market Projections - By 2024, it is projected that 63% of the total electricity consumption in China will be subject to market transactions, with the overall market size for electricity trading services expected to approach 200 billion yuan by 2030 [3][4]. - The electricity market is expanding, with five regions already in formal operation and more expected to launch by the end of the year, indicating a rapid growth in market participation [5]. Group 4: Storage and Flexibility - The notification is anticipated to positively impact the development of the energy storage industry, as companies adapt to the new market conditions [5][6]. - Flexible load management is becoming a key asset in the electricity market, with companies looking to leverage this to reduce overall energy costs for users [4].