追德超日，印度第四？

Group 1 - India has officially surpassed Japan to become the world's fourth-largest economy, a claim supported by the Indian government's NITI Aayog [1] - The IMF predicts that India's GDP will exceed Japan's by 2025 and Germany's by 2027, reflecting confidence in India's domestic consumption growth [1][3] - India's domestic consumption market accounts for approximately 60% of its GDP and has been growing steadily, while Japan's domestic consumption is around 55%-60% [2] Group 2 - Over the past decade, India's household consumption has nearly doubled, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.2%, contributing to optimistic GDP forecasts [3] - In contrast, Japan's domestic consumption has declined due to rising prices outpacing wage growth, leading to a 0.1% decrease in consumption data [3] - Japan's corporate bankruptcies reached a new high in 2024, with a 15.1% increase from the previous year, primarily affecting small and medium-sized enterprises [3] Group 3 - India's consumption market is currently driven by the affluent class, leading to a significant imbalance, with luxury goods seeing growth while entry-level products decline [4] - The middle class in India is facing economic challenges, with a high unemployment rate among young graduates and stagnant income levels [5][6] - The Reserve Bank of India reports that household savings are nearing a 50-year low, indicating reduced consumer spending capacity among the middle class [6]