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万科A: 万科企业股份有限公司2025年跟踪评级报告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing·2025-05-30 11:36

Core Viewpoint - Vanke Enterprise Co., Ltd. maintains a long-term credit rating of AAA, with a stable outlook, despite facing significant challenges in sales and liquidity management due to the ongoing adjustment in the real estate industry [1][3][4]. Company Overview - Vanke is one of the earliest real estate developers in China, with a balanced regional layout and diverse property types [3][5]. - The company has experienced a significant decline in signed sales amount in 2024, with a 34.6% year-on-year decrease, and continues to face liquidity pressure [3][12]. Financial Performance - As of the end of 2024, Vanke's total assets amounted to 12,862.60 billion yuan, with total equity of 3,388.55 billion yuan [9]. - The company reported a substantial loss of 471.87 billion yuan in profit for 2024, primarily due to a significant drop in gross profit margin and asset impairment [3][9]. - In the first quarter of 2025, Vanke's revenue was 379.95 billion yuan, reflecting a 38.31% year-on-year decline [11]. Debt and Liquidity - Vanke's short-term debt ratio is high, leading to refinancing pressure, with total debt reaching 3,612.77 billion yuan by the end of 2024 [3][4]. - The company has been actively managing cash flow and asset liquidation to alleviate liquidity issues, supported by its largest shareholder [4][5]. Market Environment - The real estate industry is undergoing adjustments, with continued pressure on sales and cash flow management [4][7]. - The company is expected to face ongoing challenges in sales performance due to a cooling market and reduced investment activity [4][12]. Shareholder Support - The largest shareholder has increased support for Vanke by enhancing management capabilities and providing loans for debt repayment [4][5]. - This support is crucial for mitigating the company's debt repayment risks amid a challenging market environment [4][5]. Industry Analysis - The real estate market is expected to continue facing downward pressure, with a focus on stabilizing sales and managing inventory [7][9]. - Despite the challenges, core city land resources remain in high demand, indicating potential opportunities for strategic acquisitions [7][9].