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Gap Stock Crashes on Flat Sales Forecast, Tariff Warning
GPSGap(GPS) Schaeffers Investment Research·2025-05-30 15:02

Core Viewpoint - Gap Inc's stock has dropped significantly by 19.7% to 22.49followingadisappointingcurrentquarterguidance,whichforecastsflatsales,failingtomeetWallStreetsgrowthexpectations[1]Group1:FinancialPerformanceDespitetheweakoutlook,Gapreportedastrongfirstquarter,beatingearningsandrevenueestimateswithearningsof51centspershareonrevenueof22.49 following a disappointing current-quarter guidance, which forecasts flat sales, failing to meet Wall Street's growth expectations [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Despite the weak outlook, Gap reported a strong first quarter, beating earnings and revenue estimates with earnings of 51 cents per share on revenue of 3.46 billion [2] - Executives indicated that proposed tariff hikes by President Trump could result in a cost impact of 250millionto250 million to 300 million, although mitigation efforts may reduce this to 100millionto100 million to 150 million [2] Group 2: Analyst Reactions - At least four analysts have lowered their price targets for Gap, with Jefferies and UBS adjusting their targets to 26and26 and 17 from 29,respectively[3]Thecurrent12monthconsensustargetpricestillreflectsa22.629, respectively [3] - The current 12-month consensus target price still reflects a 22.6% premium over the current stock levels [3] Group 3: Stock Performance - The recent selloff has erased year-to-date gains, with the stock now down 4.4% and on track for a fifth consecutive daily loss, marking the worst weekly performance since 2021 [4] - The 22 level is acting as support, but the stock is likely to close below its 20-day moving average [4] Group 4: Options Market Activity - Options traders have reacted quickly, with over 32,000 calls and 30,000 puts traded, which is 14 times the average intraday volume [5] - The most active option is the weekly 5/30 22.50-strike put, with new positions being opened and set to expire at today's close [5]