穆迪：虽然到今年年底乌克兰可能会达成某种形式的停火，但如果没有可靠的安全保障，经济复苏难以实现。

Core Viewpoint - Moody's indicates that while Ukraine may reach some form of ceasefire by the end of this year, economic recovery will be difficult without reliable security guarantees [1] Group 1 - The potential for a ceasefire in Ukraine by year-end is acknowledged, but the lack of security guarantees poses a significant challenge to economic recovery [1]