半导体测试业 迎黄金时代

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor testing industry is entering a golden era, driven by the increasing complexity of chip designs and the rising demand for high-quality testing, particularly due to AI and high-performance computing (HPC) [1][2] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The collaboration between Taiwanese manufacturers and global foundries and packaging/testing giants presents significant potential for market share expansion [1] - The average selling price (ASP) of probe cards and test sockets is expected to grow significantly due to increased pin counts, higher frequencies, and stricter tolerances [1] - The total addressable market (TAM) for advanced chip testing is expanding, marking it as a structural growth highlight [1] Group 2: Company Performance - High expectations for the earnings compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for 旺矽 (Wangxi) and 颖崴 (Yingwei) are set at 28% and 37% respectively from 2024 to 2027, reflecting structural growth and market share gains [2] - 旺矽 is expected to benefit from increased penetration in the vertical probe card (VPC) market and expansion in MEMS probe card business, with revenue and earnings CAGR projected at 19% and 28% respectively [2] - 颖崴 is actively pursuing entry into the NVIDIA system-level testing (SLT) supply chain and expanding its probe card business, with revenue and earnings CAGR expected to reach 23% and 37% respectively from 2024 to 2027 [2] Group 3: Competitive Advantages - 旺矽 is enhancing its PCB self-sufficiency and shortening delivery cycles, which strengthens its competitive edge [2] - The increasing complexity of chip designs and faster product update cycles are driving frequent upgrades in testing sockets, leading to higher average selling prices [2]