Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang·2025-05-31 02:27Industry Overview - N-propanol, also known as 1-propanol, is a colorless and transparent liquid widely used in coatings, paints, adhesives, cosmetics, plastics, and disinfectants, as well as in food and feed additives, synthetic fragrances, cleaning agents, preservatives, and brake fluids [1][2][3] - The production capacity of n-propanol in China has been increasing, with current capacity reaching approximately 270,000 tons, and the total production supply expected to rise from 109,300 tons in 2019 to 200,800 tons in 2024 [5][11] Supply Side - The domestic n-propanol industry has historically relied on imports due to insufficient local production capacity, with major import sources including the United States, Taiwan, and South Africa [7] - The total import volume of n-propanol in China increased from 30,400 tons in 2010 to 92,300 tons in 2019, but has since declined to between 30,000 and 50,000 tons from 2020 to 2024 due to increased domestic production and anti-dumping measures [7][9] Market Price Analysis - The market price of n-propanol in China has shown fluctuations but has remained within a range of 7,400 to 7,800 yuan per ton in the first half of 2024, with a notable increase in November 2024, reaching approximately 10,650 yuan per ton [9][11] Demand Side - N-propanol is primarily used to produce propyl acetate, accounting for 65% of the market share, followed by pharmaceutical and pesticide intermediates at 25%, and environmental solvents at 10% [11][19] - The demand for n-propanol is expected to grow due to the expansion of downstream products, particularly propyl acetate, which is projected to create a supply-demand imbalance, leading to potential price increases [11][19] Competitive Landscape - Major domestic producers of n-propanol include Sanwei Chemical, Luxi Chemical, and Nanjing Rongxin Chemical, with Sanwei Chemical holding the largest production capacity of around 100,000 tons [13][15][17] - The overall production capacity in the industry is stable at approximately 270,000 tons, with key players expanding their market share and production capabilities [13][15] Future Trends - The market demand for n-propanol is expected to continue growing, driven by the rapid development of downstream industries such as coatings, inks, and adhesives, as well as the increasing use of n-propanol as an environmentally friendly solvent [19][21] - The reliance on imports is decreasing as domestic production capacity expands, and the industry is moving towards greener, low-carbon production methods, enhancing overall competitiveness [20][21]