Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the contrasting performance and prospects of Boeing's ULA and Airbus in the space launch industry, highlighting Airbus's recent successes and ULA's ongoing challenges with its Vulcan rocket program [1][10]. ULA Performance - ULA has faced criticism for delays in launching national security missions, with Major General Stephen G. Purdy pointing out that ULA's Vulcan program has not launched since receiving certification in March [2][4]. - ULA's Vulcan rocket has had issues, including an engine nozzle falling off during a certification flight, raising concerns about its reliability [2][4]. - ULA aims to diversify its revenue by balancing launches between U.S. government and commercial missions, which puts it in direct competition with Airbus [12]. Airbus Performance - Airbus's space division has shown signs of recovery, with a 10% revenue increase in 2024 after an 18% decline from 2021 to 2023, and a notable 28% growth in Q1 2025 [6][7]. - Airbus has secured significant contracts, including 2.5 billion for communications satellites for the German military, indicating a strong order book [8]. - CEO Guillaume M.J.D Faury hinted at potential mergers with other European defense companies to enhance competitiveness in the space sector [9]. Competitive Landscape - Airbus is ramping up its Ariane 6 launches, positioning itself as a strong competitor to ULA, especially as both companies vie for contracts from Amazon for Project Kuiper [10][11]. - The competition is intensified by the looming FCC deadline for Amazon's satellite launches, making timely execution critical for both ULA and Airbus [11]. - Analysts forecast a 24% long-term annual earnings growth for Airbus, suggesting that despite its current valuation, it may present a more attractive investment compared to Boeing [13].
At the Worst Possible Moment for Boeing, Airbus' Space Business Is Booming