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美团副总裁夏华夏:未来十年,中国自动配送网络必将重构城市生态系统
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen·2025-06-01 06:08

Core Viewpoint - The autonomous delivery industry is transitioning from stage 1.0 to 2.0, with the expectation of reaching 3.0, which will reshape the logistics landscape [1][4]. Group 1: Development Stages - The past decade has seen autonomous delivery in the 1.0 technology exploration phase, focusing on refining algorithms and enhancing vehicle safety and speed [2]. - The current 2.0 phase emphasizes scenario reconstruction and commercial validation, with the goal of running minimum viable products (MVP) to verify business value in specific contexts [2][3]. - The future 3.0 phase aims to create an integrated ecosystem for autonomous delivery, involving collaboration among manufacturers, logistics companies, and government entities [3]. Group 2: Industry Advancements - Significant advancements have been made in the autonomous delivery supply chain, including a drastic reduction in lidar costs, lowering the overall vehicle cost from 300,000-400,000 yuan to below 100,000 yuan [3]. - Cities like Shenzhen have opened their entire road networks, facilitating large-scale commercial validation [3]. - Collaborations with companies like BYD and CATL are exploring automated battery swapping technology to enhance operational efficiency [3]. Group 3: Key Drivers and Future Outlook - The dual drivers of policy and technology are crucial for the transition to the 2.0 phase, while ecological collaboration is essential for industry success [4]. - Over the next decade, the autonomous delivery network in China is expected to reconstruct urban ecosystems, with a commitment from companies to promote standardized and ecological development in the autonomous driving sector [4].