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美联储6月维持利率不变的概率为95.4%
news flash·2025-06-01 22:14

Group 1 - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in June is 95.4% [1] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in June is 4.6% [1] - For July, the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 73.7%, with a cumulative 25 basis point cut probability of 25.2% and a 50 basis point cut probability of 1.0% [1] Group 2 - The projected interest rate probabilities for upcoming FOMC meetings show a 4.6% chance of maintaining the current rate of 4.25%-4.50% in June, decreasing to 25.2% in July [4] - The likelihood of rates being in the range of 4.00%-4.25% increases to 57.1% by September [4] - The probabilities for rates in the range of 3.75%-4.00% rise to 17.0% by September [4]