Countdown to Vail Resorts (MTN) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Estimates Beyond Revenue and EPS

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street analysts anticipate Vail Resorts (MTN) to report quarterly earnings of $10 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 4.8%, with revenues expected to reach $1.3 billion, up 1.5% from the previous year [1] Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 0.3% in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [1][2] - Revisions to earnings estimates are significant indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock [2] Revenue Estimates - Analysts project 'Net Revenue- Lodging net revenue' to be $89.11 million, a year-over-year increase of 2.4% [4] - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue' is expected to reach $1.22 billion, indicating a change of 1.8% year over year [4] - The estimate for 'Net Revenue- Resort net revenue' stands at $1.30 billion, reflecting a 1.4% increase from the prior year [4] Specific Revenue Components - 'Net Revenue- Lodging net revenue- Owned hotel rooms' is forecasted at $15.49 million, up 3.4% from the previous year [5] - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue- Other' is estimated to be $58.24 million, a 3.3% increase year over year [5] - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue- Lift' is projected at $758.84 million, reflecting a 1.8% increase [6] - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue- Ski school' is expected to be $163.57 million, indicating a 1.4% increase [6] - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue- Dining' is estimated at $110.73 million, a 1.2% increase from the prior year [7] Visitor and Performance Metrics - 'Mountain - Total skier visits' is expected to be 8.6 thousand, down from 8.94 thousand year over year [7] - 'Lodging - Managed condominium statistics - RevPAR' is projected to reach $214.69, slightly down from $215.53 in the same quarter last year [8] - 'Lodging - Owned hotel statistics - RevPAR' is expected to be $170.86, up from $166.25 in the same quarter last year [8] - 'Mountain - ETP' is projected at $88.50, an increase from $83.38 in the same quarter last year [9] Stock Performance - Vail Resorts shares have returned +14% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +6.1% change [9][10] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the overall market [10]