英国央行利率预期主导英镑 PMI数据或添波动

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the British pound is influenced primarily by fundamental factors, with limited high-impact financial data released recently [1] - The upcoming final Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May, particularly in the services sector, and May's housing price indicators are expected to be significant for the pound's movement [1] - Market expectations suggest that the Bank of England may lower interest rates once or even twice before the end of the year [1] Group 2 - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) and retail sales data for April exceeded expectations, potentially easing the market's dovish outlook on the Bank of England [1] - The speech planned by Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Mann on Tuesday is a key event for monetary policy, with hawkish tones likely to support the pound [1] - The call from Bank of England Governor Bailey for stronger ties between the UK and the EU remains a primary concern for pound traders, especially in light of disappointing UK-US trade agreements [1] Group 3 - The UK government's austerity measures may exert pressure on the pound [1] - Analysts believe that the intentions of the Bank of England will be crucial for the pound's movement in the coming week, alongside external fundamental factors from the US and EU [1] - The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is struggling to maintain above 60.00, with a potential decline to the 40.00-60.00 range signaling the end of bullish momentum [1]