Can Dollar Tree Deliver In Its Next Earnings?

Group 1 - Dollar Tree is expected to report fiscal first-quarter earnings on June 4, 2025, with estimates of $1.20 per share and$4.53 billion in revenue, reflecting a 13% year-over-year drop in earnings and a 41% decrease in sales compared to the previous year [1] - The company has a market capitalization of $19 billion and reported$18 billion in revenue over the past twelve months, with operating profits of $1.5 billion and a net income of -$3.0 billion [2] - Historically, Dollar Tree's stock has fallen 53% of the time following earnings announcements, with a median one-day decline of 11.1% and a maximum observed drop of 22% [1][2] Group 2 - Dollar Tree is attracting more affluent shoppers due to ongoing inflation, while still being dependent on lower- and middle-income consumers [2] - The company is vulnerable to new tariffs but is attempting to mitigate this through supplier negotiations, manufacturing adjustments, and selective price increases [2] - Over the past five years, Dollar Tree has recorded 19 earnings announcements, with 9 positive and 10 negative one-day returns, resulting in a 47% positive return rate [4]