油价或压轴上调，淄博车主用车成本增加轻微

Core Viewpoint - The domestic refined oil retail price is expected to increase for the fourth time this year, influenced by various geopolitical factors and OPEC+ production plans [2] Group 1: Price Adjustments - As of June 2, the reference crude oil change rate is at 1.53%, leading to an expected increase of 65 yuan for gasoline and 60 yuan for diesel, translating to a rise of 0.05 yuan per liter for 92 gasoline, 95 gasoline, and 0 diesel [2] - After this adjustment, the annual refined oil price changes will reflect "4 increases, 5 decreases, and 2 stasis," with cumulative reductions of 590 yuan/ton for gasoline and 570 yuan/ton for diesel [2] - The new retail prices for 92 and 95 gasoline will be approximately 6.93 yuan/liter and 7.43 yuan/liter, respectively, following the price increase [2] Group 2: Cost Implications - For a typical family car with a 50L fuel tank, filling up with 92 gasoline will increase costs by 2.5 yuan, while a small private car with an 8L/100km fuel consumption will see an increase of about 4 yuan before the next price adjustment [3] - In the logistics sector, a heavy truck running 10,000 km with a fuel consumption of 38L/100km will incur an additional fuel cost of approximately 89 yuan before the next price adjustment [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts expect that despite OPEC+ maintaining significant production increases in June and July, the traditional peak season for fuel consumption in the U.S. and uncertainties surrounding the Russia-Ukraine and U.S.-Iran situations will provide overall support for international oil prices [3] - The next price adjustment window is scheduled to open on June 17, 2025, at 24:00 [3]