Kingstone(KINS) ZACKS·2025-06-03 18:51Industry Overview - The property and casualty insurance industry is projected to grow despite an increase in catastrophic events, driven by personalized products and digital innovation [1] - Higher premium volumes from solid policyholder retention, broader exposure, and favorable pricing are sustaining profitability for insurers [1] Kingstone Companies (KINS) - KINS is the 12th largest homeowner insurer in New York with a 2.1% market share in 2024, positioned to expand as the Northeastern U.S. commercial insurance market is expected to grow by 12.3% through 2025 [3] - The company is focusing on core operations and exiting underperforming segments while adhering to disciplined underwriting practices [4] - KINS has raised prices ahead of inflation, expecting direct written premiums from its core business to grow between 15% and 25% in 2025 [5] - The company aims to lower its net underwriting expense ratio, projecting an improved combined ratio of 81% to 85% in 2025 [6] - KINS has shown continuous improvement in net margin, expanding by 2560 basis points over the last two years, with a return on equity of 31.9%, significantly above the industry average of 7.8% [7] United Fire Group, Inc. (UFCS) - UFCS offers a diverse range of products and has a strong presence in the Midwestern U.S., though it faces geographic concentration risks [8] - The company is finalizing a new policy administration system to enhance efficiency and product management, with full implementation expected across various business units [9] - Core commercial new business production is growing, driven by prudent pricing and risk selection [10] - UFCS is experiencing continuous improvement in net margin, which expanded by 640 basis points in the last two years, with a return on equity of 9%, also above the industry average [12][11] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for KINS' 2025 revenues and EPS indicates a year-over-year increase of 31% and 37.9%, respectively [13] - For UFCS, the 2025 revenue estimate implies a 6.7% increase, while EPS indicates a 2.4% decline, although EPS estimates have improved recently [14] Valuation - KINS is trading at a price-to-book multiple of 2.68, above its five-year median of 0.82, while UFCS's price-to-book multiple is at 0.88, slightly above its median of 0.81 [15] - UFCS is considered more affordable than KINS, with both stocks carrying a Value Score of A [16] Conclusion - KINS is strategically positioned to tap into a market opportunity exceeding $200 million, focusing on core business expansion and improving pricing efficiency [17] - UFCS is viewed as a value opportunity with a diversified portfolio and steady premium growth, appealing to investors seeking stable, dividend-paying regional insurers [18]