猪价温和回落 养殖仍有盈利

Group 1 - The average price of pork in China's wholesale market has decreased by 9.3% from January to May, indicating a downward trend in pork prices this year [1] - The prices of live pigs and pork have dropped from 16.57 yuan/kg and 27.75 yuan/kg in January to 14.93 yuan/kg and 25.68 yuan/kg in May, with cumulative declines of 9.9% and 7.5% respectively [1] - The price of piglets has increased by 19% this year, rising from 32.77 yuan/kg in January to 39.01 yuan/kg in May, although there has been a recent slight decline in the growth rate [1][2] Group 2 - The recovery in consumer demand has supported pork prices despite a significant increase in the supply of commodity pigs [2] - From January to April, the number of pigs slaughtered increased by 10.9% year-on-year, with April showing a 20% increase compared to the same month last year [2] - The decline in frozen product inventory has boosted the demand for fresh pork in the catering sector [2] Group 3 - The pig farming industry remains profitable, with average profits per head dropping below 100 yuan as of April 2025, despite a decline in pork prices [3] - Production costs for pig farming are at their lowest since 2019, aided by lower feed prices and improved breeding efficiency [3] - The number of breeding sows has increased slightly, indicating a potential rise in pig supply in the second half of the year [3] Group 4 - Seasonal price increases for pork are expected in the second half of the year, but the year-on-year growth will be significantly lower than in previous years [4] - Farmers are advised to manage their sales strategies carefully to avoid high costs associated with piglet purchases and secondary fattening [4]